16 January 2020

It's that time of the year again, when I make predictions for the upcoming year. As has become my tradition now for nigh-on a decade, I will first go back over last years' predictions, to see how well I called it (and keep me honest), then wax prophetic on what I think the new year has to offer us.

As per previous years, I'm giving myself either a +1 or a -1 based on a purely subjective and highly-biased evaluational criteria as to whether it actually happened (or in some cases at least started to happen before 31 Dec 2019 ended).

In 2019...

... I wrote a lot of stuff. (That always seems to happen when I do these.) Let's start. I'll include the full
text of what I wrote in each bullet point first, then put the Result after it with whatever insights or
comments seem relevant. (Arguably none of them are, but hey, it's my set of predictions, so....)

2020 Predictions

2020 is the start of a new decade, and that usually means predictors and prophets and tech pundits and other
folks who think they know a bunch of stuff try to convince you that this is the start of something entirely
new. (It's those kinds of folks who predicted flying cars and hoverboards, by the way.)

Before we get too deep into this, though, I saw an interesting Twitter meme that went something like this: In
the movie "Back to the Future", Marty McFly journeys into the past by 30 years, from 1985 to 1955. If Marty were
to make that journey today, he'd journey back to... 1990.

Shall we talk about what this wondrous new year is going to bring?

Lastly, one more:

Despite my best intentions, I totally abandoned the blog in 2019. With the shutdown of MSDN Magazine, and my choice to withdraw from the back-page editorials in CODE Magazine, with no drawdown in my interest in writing and no clear outlet by which to publish it, the blog should see some better love in the year to come. But... I still won't give that a 1.0 probability.

I will, however, state that this last point---the one about businesses needing to find better technical agility in their IT and technology departments---is one that I'm very, very interested in, and I now work someplace that has the resources and interest in solving some of those problems, at least internally (but hopefully in an FOSS manner). We could always use a few more talented engineers, if you're of a mind...

Tags: predictions  

Last modified 16 January 2020